End of Year Housing Market: Home Prices Continue to Rise

Real Estate Leadership Award Williamson Business Leadership Award

Home prices continue to increase across the state and are at their highest level in the past decade, according the latest quarterly housing report from the MTSU Business and Economic Research Center.

While some indicators — vacancy rates, home closings and mortgages — showed dips compared to the previous year, Tennessee’s growth “is still progressing and represents a robust working environment” with very low unemployment, noted BERC Director Murat Arik, author of the report.

See the full current and previous reports with detailed breakdowns and summaries by going to http://mtsu.edu/berc/housing.php and clicking the appropriate links.

Other report highlights:

HOME SALES: All three regions of the state have experienced growth in home closings over the year, though the data indicate slower activity in closings throughout Nashville, Knoxville, and Memphis since the beginning of 2018.

Quarterly closings show marginal declines in the Knoxville (6.59 percent), Memphis (3.99 percent), and Nashville (0.02 percent) areas.

Quarterly inventories increased in all three areas with Nashville leading at 14.26 percent, followed by Knoxville with 2.18 percent and Memphis with 3.03 percent.

“This may indicate a small correction in the market for home sales, as closings in all three areas are at a low since the beginning of this year,” Arik noted.

Nashville’s closings have steadily declined while its inventory has continually increased since the beginning of the third quarter.

HOUSING CONSTRUCTION: Tennessee saw growth in single-family, multifamily, and total construction permits from the last quarter as well as year over year.

Compared with last quarter, the most significant increase was in multifamily permits, which saw a 35.5 percent boost, followed by a nearly 4 percent increase in total permits and a 2 percent increase in single-family permits.

HOME PRICES: Home prices continued their positive trend across the state, with increases across all Metropolitan Statistical Areas, or MSAs, tracked by this report.

Areas showing the most growth from last year are the Clarksville MSA (11.5 percent), the Nashville MSA (9.9 percent), and the Jackson MSA (7.8 percent). Housing prices for the state are up 7.7 percent from last year, which is 1.1 percentage points higher than the nation’s yearly growth.

Other areas worth noting are the Johnson City MSA and the Kingsport-Bristol MSA, which have both reported much stronger growth than in the previous quarter.

FORECLOSURES: Tennessee’s foreclosure rate was the lowest in at least 18 years, although mortgages past due are up compared to the second quarter.

Even so, for Tennessee, mortgages past due are down by 0.34 percentage points from last year. Comparatively, they are also down for the U.S. by 0.02 percentage points year over year.

BERC’s report is funded by Tennessee Housing Development Agency. The quarterly report offers an overview of the state’s economy as it relates to the housing market and includes data on employment, housing construction, rental vacancy rates, real estate transactions and mortgages, home sales and prices, delinquencies and foreclosures.

The Business and Economic Research Center operates under the Jennings A. Jones College of Business at MTSU. For more information, visit http://mtsu.edu/berc/.

THDA publishes research on affordable housing, its programs and beneficiaries. THDA also coordinates state planning for housing through the Consolidated Planning process, annual Action Plans, and annual Performance Reports. See http://thda.org/research-planning/research-planning for more information.

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